Well, as of 11am, TD 2 has been upgraded to a tropical storm. It is forecast to intensify until just below hurricane status, as per the GFS guidance. Basically, it looks like the GFS nailed these two storms dead on. The stats on Ana:
Location: 14.3N 48.3W
Moving: W @ 16mph
Winds: 40mph gusting to 50mph
Pressure: 1005mb
Wind field radius: up to 70 miles
Now, these stats are a bit generous imo, as the satellite presentation is very weak at best in the convection department. But we shall see if it can flare up as nice as it did last night & keep that going long enough to stabilize.
Moving on to TD 3. This sucker is looking nice. Very nice as a matter of fact. Deep convection is everywhere, as is one large feeder band. However, the northwest quardent is heavily damaged by strong upper level winds atm. This should go away over the next day or two, giving this system plenty of room to bulk up. And it is expected to do that and then some. Rapid intensification is expected once the shear lessens, possibly reaching major hurricane status by day 5. TD 3's stats:
Location: 11.5N 34.0W
Moving: W @ 17mph
Winds: 35mph gusting to 45mph
Pressure: 1006mb
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment